Key formulas
From the Sampling & CLT formula sheet
- Standard Error of xbar:
SE_xbar = sigma / sqrt(n)- Standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.
Module 4 · Sampling & CLT · Topic 5
Using the CLT. The CLT allows us to compute probabilities about sample means using the normal distribution, even when the population itself is not normal.
Proportions and the CLT. The CLT also applies to sample proportions. If np ≥ 10 and n(1 − p) ≥ 10, then p̂ is approximately normal with mean p and SE = √(p(1 − p)/n).
SE_xbar = sigma / sqrt(n) - Standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.Population: μ = 500, σ = 100. Sample of n = 25. P(x̄ > 520) = P(Z > (520 − 500)/(100/√25)) = P(Z > 1.0) ≈ 0.1587.
60% of voters favor a policy (p = 0.6). In a sample of 200, SE = √(0.6 × 0.4 / 200) = √(0.0012) ≈ 0.0346. P(p̂ > 0.65) = P(Z > (0.65 − 0.60)/0.0346) ≈ P(Z > 1.45) ≈ 0.0735.
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